By KAREEM FAHIM and DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK from Manama, Bahrain
Saudi
Arabia pushed ahead Monday with efforts to forge a single federation with its
five Persian Gulf neighbors as the conservative monarchy seeks to build a new
bulwark against the waves of change sweeping the Middle East.
The
Saudi foreign minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal, said after a meeting in Riyadh
of the loosely allied, six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council that the group had
distributed a draft plan for the union to its members’ foreign ministers to
review so they could resolve any issues. “I am hoping that the six countries
will unite in the next meeting,” he said.
Several
smaller gulf states have publicly balked at the idea, fearing Saudi domination
of the group. The fact that no agreement was announced Monday, as some had
expected, seemed to signal deep misgivings among several of Saudi Arabia’s
neighbors. But Prince Saud’s public push forward despite their opposition
underscored the kingdom’s continuing scramble — with diplomacy, money and even
arms — to preserve or rebuild what it can of the old regional order in the wake
of the Arab uprisings.
Saudi
Arabia’s rulers fear that the contagion of popular revolt could reach their
country’s borders and stir its own disenfranchised citizens and residents,
including dissidents, members of minority groups and foreign workers, analysts
said. “They don’t want the spirit of our uprising to reach their shores,” said
Sayed Hadi al-Mosawi, a Bahraini opposition politician.
The
move also highlights the Saudi monarchy’s preoccupation with its regional
rival, Iran, which has been reflected in a series of Saudi interventions that
have taken on distinctly sectarian overtones, including its support for Sunni
opposition groups in Syria and its military intervention last spring on behalf
of the Sunni monarchy in Bahrain.
Thousands
of Saudi troops rolled into Bahrain last year to help Bahrain’s monarch put
down a popular uprising led by members of the country’s Shiite majority.
Bahrain, which is linked by a bridge to Saudi Arabia, is virtually the only
country publicly endorsing the Saudi push for a tighter regional federation. In
a statement released on Monday, the king of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa,
said, “We are looking forward to the establishment of the Gulf Union.”
Several
Bahraini opposition activists rejected the idea and suggested it was not only
government opponents who feared a closer union with its far more conservative
neighbor. “We don’t want to be subsumed by Saudi Arabia,” said Ala’a Shehabi, a
writer and opposition activist.
And
several other states — including Kuwait, Qatar and Oman, have so far shown
little enthusiasm for the kind of tighter union Saudi Arabia is pushing,
perhaps modeled on the European Union.
“Each
of them has its own reason not to be very warm to the idea of a more empowered
Saudi Arabia,” said Emile Hokayem, a Middle East analyst with the International
Institute for Strategic Studies who is based in Manama. “Those tensions have
been around forever, but what’s different at this point is a number of
countries don’t feel they need a Saudi security umbrella. They’re quite
ambitious independently. They know how to leverage their wealth. It doesn’t
make sense to throw their lot right now in with Saudi Arabia.”
Saudi
Arabia has already made moves to try to stretch the Gulf Cooperation Council
far beyond its original regional mission to try to turn it into an alliance of
monarchies that might band together against the democratic trend. Its diplomats
have made overtures to include the kingdoms of Morocco and Jordan.
Saudi
and Kuwaiti officials last year even leaked the idea that Egypt might become
some kind of member of the group, though Egyptian diplomats quickly dismissed
the idea. At the time, one senior Egyptian official suggested that Egypt’s
revolution would fundamentally change the nature of the relationship with Saudi
Arabia, a longtime ally of the deposed president, Hosni Mubarak.
In
recent weeks, Egyptians have taken to the streets to complain about the
alliance, prompting the worst crisis in years between the countries. Saudi
Arabia withdrew its ambassador after Egyptians, angered at the arrest of an
Egyptian human rights lawyer while visiting Saudi Arabia, held protests outside
the Saudi Embassy in Cairo. The lawyer, Ahmed el-Gizawy, had drawn attention to
the detention of Egyptian workers in Saudi Arabia, who are employed under a
restrictive sponsorship system.
But
Egypt’s military rulers, fearful of losing billions of dollars in pledged Saudi
aid in the midst of a fiscal crisis, quickly tried to heal the rift. Senior
Egyptian officials, including senior leaders of the Islamist-led Parliament,
flew to Riyadh to make amends with the Saudi king.
Saudi
Arabia appears to be trying to make up with Egypt as well. After more than a
year of waiting, it has released to Egypt the first $1 billion of a promised
aid package, just in time to help Egypt land a larger loan from the
International Monetary Fund.
And
on Monday, Saudi officials said they were beginning reforms of visa rules that
compel guest workers to maintain the “sponsorship” of their Saudi employer — a
requirement many Egyptians say reduces guest workers to servitude. Although the
planned reforms may be mainly cosmetic — Saudi government “sponsorships” will
still be required — the Saudi announcement was played as major news Monday in
Egypt’s state media.
-This commentary was published first in The New York Times on 15/05/2012
-Kareem Fahim reported from Manama, and David D. Kirkpatrick from Cairo. Mayy El Sheikh contributed reporting from Cairo
-Kareem Fahim reported from Manama, and David D. Kirkpatrick from Cairo. Mayy El Sheikh contributed reporting from Cairo
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