This commentary was published in The Independent on 11/06/2011
The latest actions of the Syrian regime yesterday indicate that all this is bound to lead to further bloody confrontation. The leadership knows that it is in danger, but it simply will not give up peacefully.
After all, it has seen what happened in Egypt, where Hosni Mubarak faces jail or perhaps even the death penalty.
-4,000 civilians have fled to Turkey fearing a crackdown on Jisr al-Shughour.
-6,000 have sought refuge in Lebanon, but many have been forcibly returned.
-325,000 soldiers and other personnel make up Syria's armed forces.