By Andrew Sullivan
Judging from his actions, the
Israeli prime minister has two over-arching goals: the permanent annexation of
the occupied territories and the electoral defeat of Barack Obama in the US. He
will deny both - but he is a practised liar, and his actions speak so much
louder than his words. He is gaining on both fronts, as inaction means more and
more settlers on the West Bank, and as Obama reels from a poor economy and as
an "ungrateful ally", in Bob Gates's words, focuses primarily on his
electoral destruction.
Netanyahu is not stupid. Obama
represented a real threat to the neocon rubric: an American president very
close to Israel but uniquely capable of advancing America's long term interests
by forging a better relationship with the Arab and Muslim world. But the House
GOP and a few Greater Israel-obsessed Democrats, in a close alliance with
Netanyahu, have destroyed that potential. Between advancing America's long term
interests and challenging the Israeli government, the Christianists and neocons
have no hesitation in choosing Israel's short-term and self-destructive
intransigence over their own country's long-term global influence.
So watching the US president be
humiliated at the UN must have made every neocon and Christianist very happy,
even as it made me wince. To contrast this speech with last year's reveals just
how impotent any American president is in dealing with this matter. To go
further back, from Cairo to New York represents an arc from real potential
change to total, bitter stasis, with the added humiliation of Obama now vetoing
the very Palestinian state that has been America's policy for decades. In this
case, the arc of history is short and it points to mounting injustice.
But in some ways, the crude
demonstration of the impotence of a US president in this area is clarifying.
It's clear to the entire world that America - for domestic reasons - simply
cannot be an honest broker between the Israelis and the Palestinians. America
cannot even advance its own interests in a world transformed by the Arab Spring
- because of the force of the evangelical right in determining Republican
policies and the passion of the Greater Israel lobby in swaying the Democrats.
If Obama was helpless in the face of this pincer movement, what hope any
successor? The only way forward therefore is by reducing America's control of
the peace process, and handing the issue to a wider international forum.
A first step is surely Sarko's
option: backing observer member status at the UN as one desperate measure to
force the Israelis to stop aggressively colonizing land captured in war. I
don't see why the US should vote against that, even though the US will, because
the US is domestically forced to do so. But the rest of the world may well vote
in overwhelming numbers for this proposition, because they see it as the only
real leverage against the deepening colonization of the West Bank.
This is Netanyahu's achievement:
the alienation of Turkey and Jordan, the suspicion of the Arab Spring, the
potential loss of Egypt's support and the dramatic reduction in US power and
influence in the region. There was a window these past couple of years. Israel,
the Greater Israel lobby and the Christianist GOP closed it. The best the US
can do now is bow out of the responsibility for an ally it has no sway over,
and work through more indirect fashion for a two-state solution that, at this
point in time, seems further away than ever.
This commentary was published in
The Daily Beast on 22/09/2011
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