By Michael Young
If
Pietton is spared a surplus of patriarchal masses, he may come out of the
dispute a happy man. However, on Wednesday the ambassador visited Rai,
suggesting that their disagreement had been contained. Yet it is extraordinary
how Rai has made a splendid mess of things in just a few weeks, damaging his
own reputation, and with it that of his church. The patriarch gains nothing by
picking fights with foreign envoys who represent countries rather important for
Lebanon.
Someone
should remind Rai that France has a large contingent in UNIFIL, the United
Nations force in southern Lebanon. It is well within Paris’ remit to ask for
clarifications from the patriarch when the position he has taken on Hezbollah’s
weapons – indicating that the party should hold on to them until the
Arab-Israeli conflict ends – directly contradicts Security Council Resolutions
1559 and 1701.
Rai’s
gaffes are a manifestation of a larger problem among Maronites. The community,
through what is traditionally regarded as its three senior representatives –
Rai, but also President Michel Sleiman and the army commander, Jean Kahwagi –
has had pitifully little to add to the intellectual, spiritual, political, and
communal revitalization of a state that Maronites played so large a role in
creating and sustaining. The community is not alone in this shortcoming, but it
can offer considerably more for holding the crucial balance between Sunnis and
Shiites, who find themselves at profound odds over Lebanon’s future.
Ironically,
the one individual who once tried his best to define a particular idea of
Lebanon is former Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir. Today, he finds himself
routinely abused by followers of Michael Aoun and those pleased with Rai’s political
innovations.
That
Sfeir made his share of mistakes is undeniable. In the end he presided over a
divided community, which sullied his reputation. However, he was always a
reluctant political actor, unlike his successor, and it was inevitable that he
would be sucked under by his fragmented flock. In the years when he stood alone
against Syrian hegemony, with Samir Geagea in prison and Aoun in exile, Sfeir
never wavered from a simple message: After a devastating 15-year war, Lebanon
was entitled to genuine sovereignty – meaning that Syria had to withdraw its
army from the country. And such a Lebanon could only survive through
coexistence between its religious communities.
Sfeir’s
critics would do well to recall that this vision ended up informing theirs. In
the early postwar years when Aoun’s partisans were being beaten and arrested,
they sought Sfeir’s protection and sanction – though they had humiliated the
patriarch during their general’s failed campaign against the Lebanese Forces.
Aoun and Geagea, who contributed more than anyone to the Christians’ ruin,
still retain the loyalty of a majority in the community. But the old man who
echoed an earlier generation of Maronites, for whom Lebanon personified
communal self-confidence, achievement, and an often idealized form of
transcendental appeal, now finds himself compared unfavorably to the careerist
who followed him.
Rai
has long tied his fate closely to that of Michel Sleiman, which should be a
cause for nervousness. To borrow from Vernon Walters’ remarks about former U.N.
Secretary-General Javier Perez de Cuellar, Sleiman is a man who couldn’t make
waves if he fell out of a boat. There was high promise the day he was
inaugurated, and that’s where the promise stayed. No one can say with a
straight face that Sleiman has turned himself into a credible alternative to
Aoun or Geagea. His influence among Maronites is anemic, and yet he has not
succeeded in incarnating the state either – particularly for those in the
Muslim communities. When confronted, he has consistently backed down, playing
it safe and preserving his measured gains. As a friend once put it, Sleiman
came to office with the ambition of being an ex-president, and it’s difficult
to disagree with so decapitating a phrase.
As
for Kahwagi, he is now in the throes of that great malady of army commanders:
an expectation that he will become Lebanon’s next president. The stark measure
of the Maronites’ political poverty these days is that when it is not their
clergymen fiddling with politics, it is their soldiers. Since Emile Lahoud was
selected in 1998, it seems the presidency is reserved for anyone wearing a
cocked beret. And so we Lebanese for years have had to endure army commanders
who have meticulously, almost seismographically, assessed prevailing power
relationships in the country before taking their every decision – and who have
relatively frequently faced the dilemma of having to choose between their own
welfare and that of the institution they lead.
Absent
from this triumvirate is any farsightedness as to the destiny of the Maronites.
Rai still seeks to unify the community, with a meeting planned for this Friday
in Bkirki, even as he has provoked the greatest internal upheaval that
Maronites have experienced since Aoun and Geagea fought each other more than
two decades ago. Sleiman is marching stalwartly toward a legacy whose greater
part threatens to be inconsequence. And Kahwagi will remain a hostage to the
house of many mansions that is Lebanon’s army – over which Hezbollah has
inordinate influence, arousing the suspicion of Sunnis – incapable of
transforming its battalions into the valid basis of a national project.
Maronites
have the institutions, talent, and memory to reverse their community’s steady
mediocrization. What they don’t have is the self-assurance required to reinvent
themselves in the shadow of their demographic decline. Rai, Aoun, Sleiman,
perhaps even Kahwagi, have adjusted to this decline by accommodating the view
that their minority has a stake in allying itself with other minorities, no
matter how repressive these may be. Such is the path to communal suicide.
-This commentary was published in The Daily Star on 22/09/2011
-Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR and author of “The Ghosts of Martyrs Square: An Eyewitness Account of Lebanon’s Life Struggle” (Simon & Schuster)
-Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR and author of “The Ghosts of Martyrs Square: An Eyewitness Account of Lebanon’s Life Struggle” (Simon & Schuster)
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