In just a few years Qatar has risen to the forefront of the global
economic scene. Though the unexpected influence of the TV network Al-Jazeera
can occasionally put Doha in a tight spot, the growth of this small Gulf
emirate owes nothing to chance. Its rise is based on a long-term strategy that
combines liberalism and free trade, development of its exceptional gas reserves
and investment in new technologies
By Akram Belkaïd
The
Qatari authorities are aware that hydrocarbon reserves will not last forever,
and they intend to profit from the financial security that oil and natural gas
exports have brought them (80% of external revenue, 60% of total revenue) by
diversifying the economy. At the end of 2008, they launched a long-term
development plan called National Vision 2030. This strategic programme
officially began in March 2011 with its first phase spread over five years. It
is divided into four main areas: international centres for the knowledge economy;
a transport hub (air, sea and land); a regional financial centre; and tourism
focused on business travel, symposiums and conferences.
Qatar’s
determination to diversify has also resulted in an ambitious industrialisation
programme, especially in petrochemicals, the chemical industry, aluminium,
steel, paper and fibre, agribusiness, and the liquefaction of natural gas (see
Gas trump card). By 2016 Qatar will have spent an average of $15-18bn per year,
around 40% of its annual expenditure, on financing investments in
infrastructure and economic diversification. It has already spent almost $100bn
under its 2005-10 five-year investment plan.
On
a macroeconomic level, to support the development of non-hydrocarbon business,
Qatar wants to attract foreign investors and also encourage the creation of
local small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The Qatar Industrial Manufacturing
Company (QIMC), which consists of six subsidiaries, has the mission of
promoting SMEs, if necessary by providing a part of their start-up capital and
helping them to export the “Made in Qatar” label. It helps them to identify
outlets in Gulf Cooperation Council countries, the Maghreb and Arab countries
north of the Arabian Peninsula. The authorities have launched a
credit-insurance programme, Al-Dhameen, to improve SMEs’ access to finance. A
new agency responsible for SMEs will be created in 2011 under the leadership of
the Supreme Council for Economic Affairs and Investments.
Towards academic excellence
The
government has also comprehensively revised its protectionist legislation on
foreign investors. Since 1 January 2010, corporate income tax has been set at
the flat rate of 10% (before there were several rates ranging up to 35%).
Similarly, since 1 February 2011, foreign investors can hold 100% of the
capital of a Qatar-registered company, except in certain sectors such as
banking, insurance, real estate and consumer goods imports, where the majority
of the capital must be held by local operators. Finally, Doha has increased its
efforts to counter inflation, whose record levels in 2007 (+13.8%) and 2008
(+15%) — due to the simultaneous rise in the prices of hydrocarbons, food and
real estate — made the country less attractive. Prices rose by only 1% in 2010
and inflation should level off at 3% in 2011, indicating that it is under
control.
The
2022 FIFA World Cup was awarded to Qatar in December 2010, and the decision is
already boosting economic activity. The emirate has committed to building nine
new stadiums, and renovating and expanding the three existing ones, at a total
cost of $4bn. The authorities have decided that this programme is to be headed
by local companies in partnership with foreign operators, in the hope that it
will revitalise local subcontracting in the civil engineering and construction
sectors.
One
of Qatar’s main aims for the next 20 years is in the field of the knowledge
economy. Under the leadership of the Qatar Foundation, the emirate has finished
building Education City, intended to be a regional centre of excellence in
higher education. Several North American and European universities and business
schools — including Hautes Etudes Commerciales in Paris — have already
established branch campuses there. Beyond this flagship project, the Qatar
Foundation is also contributing to the development of the Qatar Science &
Technology Park (QSTP), whose objective is to attract the R&D functions of
large companies in the oil industry (Total, Exxon Mobil) or technology and IT
(European Aeronautic Defence and Space [EADS], Apple, Microsoft, etc).
Qatari
firms have also begun to invest in R&D. Pragmatech, a recently created
subsidiary of United Development Company (UDC), is making a name for itself on
the international stage for its text processing, document summarising and
referencing software. In June 2011 the Pan Arab Web Awards Academy in
association with Microsoft and Business Software Alliance (BSA) awarded Pragmatech
a prize for its high-quality web design.
Alongside
the knowledge economy, tourism in all its forms is a priority, despite
competition from neighbours such as Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. Qatar
plans to double its efforts in the hotel business to catch up with its
neighbours and prepare for the World Cup. The country currently has 11,000
luxury rooms in 72 hotels, including 17 five-star and 13 four-star
establishments. The authorities’ goal is to reach a total of 90,000 rooms by
2022.
More
tourism means more air travel. As well as the construction of a new $15bn
airport in Doha, which will serve 24 million passengers in 2012 (and 50 million
in 2015), the emirate’s business strategy is to make itself the obvious transit
point for western tourists travelling to the Far East.
Pollution problem
The
idea is that travellers flying with Qatar Airways will stop over for several
days in Doha or one of the new towns currently under construction, on either
their outward or their return journey. Qatar is in the midst of an air travel
boom: the national airline announced in December 2010 that it had had its first
profitable year and planned to go public in 2012. This step should finance the
expansion of its fleet from 92 planes to 120 by 2013.
Qatar
also wants to position itself as a regional centre for medical tourism. In 2012
the $8bn Sidra Medical and Research Centre will open its doors. It is the
region’s first hospital entirely equipped with digital machines, and aims to
attract patients from Southeast Asia as well as the Gulf area.
The
growth of tourism is directly connected to the growth of the property sector.
One of the largest projects under way in Qatar is the construction (managed by
the UDC) of The Pearl, an artificial island, a few kilometres from Doha city
centre. At a total cost of $10bn, the island will consist of marinas, shopping
malls, restaurants, and residential zones. Once completed, it will house 35,000
people in 18,000 units. The Pearl is mostly intended for Qataris, but it will also
be open to foreigners who, by purchasing real estate there, will have the right
to a permanent residence permit.
The
Pearl is an opportunity for Qatari engineering firms to develop their expertise
and know-how. Qatar Cool, another UDC subsidiary, is perfecting a system of
“district cooling” in Doha, meaning the centralised distribution of air
conditioning to several parts of the new town. This air conditioning “factory”
is about to become a global benchmark in the field. Several towns in the Gulf,
all facing rising energy bills caused by the increased use of individual air
conditioning units, have shown interest in Qatar Cool’s technological model.
Another
new town project, Lusail City, is being developed by the Lusail Real Estate
Development Company (LREDC). Situated north of Doha, this new town will be
completed in 2019 and will have a total area of 35 sq km, at an estimated cost
of $5bn. It aims to accommodate 200,000 residents, 170,000 workers and 80,000
visitors. It will have 22 hotels, 34 mosques, a business park, and several golf
courses. A tram line 22km long with 34 stops will connect the town’s various
areas; it will have two interchanges with a projected railway crossing the
emirate. A system of taxi boats will link the new city to Doha airport and the
business area of West Bay. Lusail City will have five stadiums, one of which,
the Lusail Iconic Stadium, will host the 2022 World Cup final. And Qatari Diar,
a government-owned company, has acquired numerous tourist and real estate
properties in Europe, Oman, Sudan, Morocco, Ethiopia, Tunisia, Yemen and Libya.
Qatar,
which emits the most greenhouse gases per inhabitant of any country, wants to
promote public transport. For an overall cost of $35bn over 10 years, it plans
to build four underground lines, two tram lines, an automatic underground line
and a high-speed rail link between Doha and Manama, Bahrain’s capital. In
addition, there will be several goods rail lines, especially to Saudi Arabia.
One of the most important road infrastructure projects is the 40km-long
causeway between Qatar and Bahrain, an emblematic project for the region with
an estimated cost of $5bn. The country also plans to allocate $20bn to
modernising its current road network by building several motorways. It also
plans to expand maritime activities: the port of Doha will be expanded and modernised
so as to become a platform for logistics and regional re-export (budget $7bn).
The
development of a financial hub in Doha is another of Qatar’s strategic
objectives. The Qatar Financial Centre, created in 2005, plans to revitalise
the banking sector, which already has around 20 banks, 16 of them local. The
world’s big financial institutions, attracted by the country’s economic boom
and jockeying for position to finance projects, all have a presence here. But
above all, the Qatari authorities hope Doha will become the world capital of
Islamic finance, to rival centres such as Kuala Lumpur, Geneva, London and
Manama. University disciplines have been created to train specialised
executives in this field, and the government has decided to encourage the
foundation of Islamic banks, particularly through taxat concessions.
National
Vision 2030 also positions other sectors as strategic from the standpoint of
economic diversification. Qatar, which imports 95% of the food it consumes, is
aiming at 70% self-sufficiency by 2023. In 2008 the country’s authorities
formed the Qatar National Food Security Programme, whose mission is to secure
food supplies by buying farmland abroad, but also by launching agricultural
businesses on Qatari soil, notably the production of cereals near the town of
Al-Khor.
The
country also plans to develop its expertise in hydraulics. Currently dependent
on its desalination plants for 99% of its water, it aims to acquire strategic
reserves of drinking water. It will therefore invest $2.8bn in building
pre-stressed concrete reservoirs (12 metres high, with a diameter of 200
metres), interconnected by pipelines with a total length of 183km. This
infrastructure will hold 32m cubic metres of drinking water, the equivalent of
seven days’ consumption for Qatar’s projected population in 2040.
Diversifying
the economy also means investing abroad, via the Qatar Investment Authority
(QIA). This sovereign fund manages assets with an estimated worth of $60bn in
almost 20 Middle Eastern, African, European and North American countries. QIA
already has numerous partnerships with French companies: it holds 7.6% of
Lagardère, 3% of EADS (since 2008); 0.98% of Suez Environnement; 5.78% of Vinci
(in exchange for Cegelec and with the approval of the European Commission); and
22.7% of the capital of the Société Fermière du Casino Municipal de Cannes. QIA
has also just taken control of 70% of the capital of French soccer club Paris
Saint-Germain, and holds 9.1% of the capital of Hochtief, the German construction
industry leader, which is a stakeholder in the Lusail City project.
This article was published in Le Monde Diplomatique in its
September issue
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