By Tariq Alhomayed
I
am not one of those who are overawed by the Turkish Prime Minister, but for a
moment let’s compare Mr. Erdogan’s recent visits to the region- after the Arab
political earthquake- and the maneuvers of Iranian President Ahmadinejad. This
is not to compare between Erdogan and Ahmadinejad, but rather to know where
Iran stands today in comparison with Turkey, and the implications of this.
In
a simple comparison we would find that Recep Tayyip Erdogan traveled to Egypt
and received a hero’s welcome, an unusual scene in Egypt, a state with a
tendency of leadership and national unity. Erdogan took with him an army of
Turkish businesspeople. Then while in Egypt, he said what even Field Marshal
Tantawi himself couldn’t say to the Egyptians; he advised the Muslim
Brotherhood that the best option for them was for Egypt to be secular after
Mubarak, and not a religious state. Erdogan did not stop there; after leaving
Egypt he made his way to Tunisia, the starting point of the Arab Spring – as
some call it, or the Arab earthquake – as I call it for accuracy, and he
repeated the same words about the need for a secular state in Tunisia.
Accompanying him again was the same army of Turkish businesspeople. Prior to
Erdogan’s visits, the Turkish Foreign Minister was one of the first officials
in the region to travel to Benghazi after the fall of Muammar Gaddafi’s
authoritarian regime, so what about the Iranian president?
It
is noteworthy that after the Arab earthquake Ahmadinejad did not visit one Arab
country that had been affected, so much so that any observer would have almost
forgotten the name of Tehran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, due to his lack of
statements and movements, both regionally and abroad. When Ahmadinejad left
Tehran to participate in the United Nations General Assembly in New York, he
did not visit any influential Arab country, but rather opted to visit the
recently partitioned Sudan. The irony here is that the Sudanese President, who
is the subject of an international arrest warrant, is the one who defends
Ahmadinejad and Iran, and not vice versa. Ahmadinejad also visited Mauritania,
a country which does not impose any political influence upon the surrounding
region, and the Middle East! What is the meaning of all this?
The
simple and short answer is that Iran is in a state of international and
regional isolation, whilst Erdogan’s Turkey is currently spreading its
influence and strengthening its position, specifically in areas affected by the
Arab earthquake. It is noteworthy that reliable sources indicate that Iranian
financing has become a contentious issue in Egypt today, although whether it is
true or not is another story. However, the reality today dictates that Turkey
will fill the current vacuum in the region, whilst it seems that Iran will
become more isolated, not only in the region, but also in other parts of the
world. Even Venezuela has made an excuse for not receiving President
Ahmadinejad in Caracas, where the Venezuelan Foreign Minister announced the
postponement by saying: “We will wait until President Chavez has fully
recovered”.
However,
it is important to note that Ahmadinejad’s visits to both Sudan and Mauritania
have negative implications, especially if we consider the geographical location
of Khartoum and Nouakchott, and their proximity to Egypt, Libya and Tunisia. It
is clear that Iran wants to escape from its isolation by maneuvering in
geographical areas close to the Arab states currently feeling their way towards
rebuilding their political regimes. Meanwhile, Turkey is seizing the initiative
and expanding in the region, to fill a clear Arab vacuum that is waiting to be
filled.
-This commentary was published in Asharq al-Awsat on 29/09/2011
-Tariq Alhomayed is the editor-in-chief of Asharq al-Awsat
-Tariq Alhomayed is the editor-in-chief of Asharq al-Awsat
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